As I am tired of straining my thoughts about Iran into under 140 characters and adding more noise than signal, I would like to briefly summarize my position on Iran. After this, I am done discussing the issue, though I will probably repost WSWS articles, as I think that they represent an important perspective.
0. I make absolutely no claim to know the actual results of the election, nor do I question the personal motives of sincere parties involved.
1. Rigged elections are the norm, and not the exception in the Western world. Much crocodile tears is being shed by the mainstream American media over this particular election. Why? What are the politics and social forces behind it? Accusations of voter fraud are common, particularly in the developing world. Why is so much attention being placed on this one? What evidence has been presented in the Western media that the election was rigged other than the say so of the opposition?
2. The people currently demonstrating against the government of Iran are certainly brave. Braver than I can boast to be. But bravery alone is not enough of a quality to warrant my political support. To be clear- I find the repressive actions against the Iranian population disgusting and reprehensible. I also know that the opposition leader, whose base is largely an upper middle class English-speaking urban minority, was also the Prime Minister during the Iran-Iraq War of 1981-1989, and participated in the murder of thousands of Iranian workers and peasants during the 1980s. His current politics aren’t terribly important to me, though I do have some familiarity with them. His deeds speak more than his words.
3. The history of the 20th century is largely the history of people getting butchered after fake “left” conciliators hitch the star of the working class to “the broader movement.” The examples of this are so common, that it seems like a waste of time to repeat a laundry list here. However, an obvious and relevant example is both during the 1953 CIA-backed coup d’etat and the 1979 Islamic Revolution. In both cases, the kind of “ally building” and papering over of political differences (under the auspices of the Stalinist mass party, the Tudeh) led to the working class behind misled behind, respectively, a popular front government which did nothing to defend the working class against the CIA-backed coup and the mullahs who currently oppress all Iranians, but particularly homosexuals, non-Twelver Shi’a and other religious minorities, and women.
4. I support a working-class politics that stands up for the rights of women, ethnic and religious minorities, and the most oppressed layers of society. The Iranian working class is, historically speaking, one of the most militant and revolutionary in the world. Whatever other things may have happened later, the Iranian working class were the driving force behind the destruction of the brutal, U.S. backed SAVAK / Shah regime. There is absolutely no reason that they are not capable of leading a similar revolution, along socialist lines except for a lack of political leadership inside the country. Getting behind anything that moves isn’t the answer. There needs to be leadership in Iran. Chasing the tail of the left is a race to the bottom.
5. History matters. My thoughts on the opposition leader are outlined above. But the history of American involvement in the region matters too. Barack Obama has as one of his senior advisors Zbigniew Bzezinski, one of the most dedicated backers of the Shah during the 1979 revolution. The character of the American government did not change because the guys in the white hats got elected. The same geopolitical goals of the Bush regime are being acted upon by the Obama regime, albeit through guile and subterfuge rather than overt force. I oppose these aims regardless of their perpatrators or ideological cover.
6. Any revolution which leaves the mullahs in power is not a revolution I will support. Period, the end.
On a totally personal note, I hope that a good Persian friend of mine is able to walk the streets of Tehran one day, a beer in each hand, and a scantily clad girl on each arm without fear of repression or terror. And I hope the people of Iran rise up and give the mullahs what they’ve had coming for the last thirty years.
UPDATE:
Recent events, as well as a correspondence this morning have forced me to amend this document.
0. The situation in Iran is currently highly precarious. Politics aside, I am deeply moved by the Iranian people, and barring the revolution that won’t happen, wish for nothing but the personal safety of those involved and their families.
1. Part of my shrill tone about this stems precisely from a deep seated emotional attachment to the people of Iran. I do not wish to seem them led into a slaughter by leadership which lacks the political will to carry out the necessary fight against the mullahs and the Islamic Republic. There seem to be two options on the table at this point:
A) The Assembly of Experts will remove Khamenei from the post of Supreme Leader. This looks so distant as to be an impossibility, if recent reports that the AoE has explicitly backed Khamenei.
B) The protesters will be cut down in a bloody confrontation with state security apparatus that they are ill-organized and equipped to fight. They will fight heroically, and valiantly, but without proper political leadership and organization, they will lose.
3) (B) seems to be the crux of the matter. The current standoff is what I have dreaded for the last several days. Mousavi is too close to the clerical establishment to mount the kind of struggle that is needed in Iran right now. He has imperiled the lives of thousands of Iranians who have stuck their neck out for him.
4) I will be gladly be wrong if it means that Iranians get to live. But if I am correct it is worth considering that giving support to “anything that moves” is not the most amazing strategic track to take.
5) At no time, and in no way during this crisis have I ever provided political support to the Islamic Republic of Iran. I remain skeptical of the claims in the Western press and question the special attention paid to accusations of electoral irregularities. The Western press is generally woefully silent or explicitly opposed to opposition claims of voter fraud. Why are they concerned now? Qui bono? Even if the election were wholesale stolen as the opposition claims, this question remains. Moreover, why does press coverage intersect with American military and economic interests there?
6) Entirely unrelated to the above: I am deeply troubled by the presence of iconography associated with the Shah being used by the protesters. More as this unfolds.
Further Worthwhile Reading:
Western Misconceptions Meet Iranian Realities - Stratfor
The New York Times and Iran: Journalism as State Provocation - World Socialist Web Site
For Workers’ Power and a Socialist Iran - WSWS
The New Great Game - Wikipedia
Posted in Final Word, Metapolitics